Freight Logistics Shipping Containers in Yard

Global Freight and Trade War Outlook – September 2025

Updated:

Webinar

This month’s Freightos market update webinar looked at the latest demand, capacity and rate trends in the international ocean and air freight markets, with a focus on developing impacts from the US trade war.

We were joined by Parash Jain, Managing Director, Global Head of Transport & Logistics Research at HSBC. Parash’s insights on the container market included:

  • Capacity growth – not trade war impacts – could be the major driver of freight rates moving forward.
  • The economics of container freight often work against long-term effective capacity management, and could do so this time too. 
  • Though order book growth at a time of overcapacity seems counterintuitive, carriers may be well positioned and have good reason to keep shipyards busy anyway.
  • USTR port call fees may not have a big impact on freight rates, if they materialize at all.

Watch the full recording here:

Speakers

Judah Levine presenting at Freightos Global Freight Outlook webinar September 2024

Judah Levine

Head of Research, Freightos Group

Judah is an experienced market research manager, using data-driven analytics to deliver market-based insights. Judah produces the Freightos Group’s FBX Weekly Freight Update and other research on what’s happening in the industry from shipper behaviors to the latest in logistics technology and digitization.

Parash Jain

Managing Director, Global Head of Transport & Logistics Research

Parash Jain joined HSBC in 2006 and is the Managing Director, Global Head of Transport & Logistics Research.  Based in Hong Kong, Parash has been covering the Transport & Logistics sector since 2009 and is responsible for developing regional and global products in conjunction with other transport analysts.  In his time at HSBC, he has also covered Asia small and mid-cap companies.  He is registered with the Institute of Chartered Accountants of India and has a bachelor’s degree in commerce.

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